DOI

The paper introduces an original permutation approach to assessment of the predictive ability of models based on artificial neural networks. Three models based on artificial neural networks (a multilayer perceptron, a network with the radial basis function, and a neural network with the generalized regression) were implemented to illustrate the permutation approach. Data on the spatial distribution of copper in the upper soil layer of Novy Urengoy (Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug, Russia) were used for modeling. To evaluate the performance of the models, three different methods were used: error indices estimation, a graphical approach (the Taylor diagram), and a randomization estimation of the probability of obtaining the divergence between the observed and predicted series under assumption that both these datasets are taken from the same population. In the permutation approach, two statistics were used: the difference in means and the correlation coefficient. The permutation approach proved to be productive, as it allowed assessing the significance of the divergence between the observed and predicted datasets.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAIP Conference Proceedings
Subtitle of host publicationbook
PublisherAmerican Institute of Physics Inc.
Volume3094
Edition1
ISBN (Print)978-073544954-1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2024
EventInternational Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics 2022, ICNAAM 2022 - Крит, Heraklion, Greece
Duration: 19 Sept 202225 Sept 2022

Publication series

NameAIP Conference Proceedings
PublisherAmerican Institute of Physics
Number1
Volume3094
ISSN (Print)0094-243X

Conference

ConferenceInternational Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics 2022, ICNAAM 2022
Country/TerritoryGreece
CityHeraklion
Period19/09/202225/09/2022

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General Physics and Astronomy

ID: 58894870