Aim. Analysis of the dynamics of the main epidemiological indicators of tuberculosis: morbidity, prevalence and mortality in municipalities of the Sverdlovsk region in the period 2010-2021.
Materials and methods. To analyze the epidemic situation of tuberculosis, intensive indicators were used, calculated on the basis of data from approved state statistical reporting form No. 8 “Information on diseases with active tuberculosis” and form No. 33 “Information on tuberculosis patients”, forms 089-u/tub, data from the Federal Register of Tuberculosis Patients, registers of tuberculosis patients from health care institutions in the context of municipalities of the Sverdlovsk region. The analysis of the normality of the distribution, variance, coefficient of variation, amplitude, average values and other characteristics of the variation series of the studied coefficients in dynamics over 12 years (2010-2021) was carried out. The reliability of the differences in statistical indicators was determined by the Student’s criterion: the differences were considered statistically significant at values corresponding to p < 0.05. Statistical processing of the results of the study was carried out using the computer program MS Excel and SPSS 10.1.
Results. In the period 2010-2021, there was a steady and statistically reliable (p < 0.05) downward trend in the values of the main epidemiological coefficients for tuberculosis, such as morbidity, prevalence and mortality in the municipalities of the Sverdlovsk region, the average rates of decrease in the values of these indicators were -6.8%, -6.3% and -7.7% per year, respectively.
Conclusion. The decrease in the variance of the values of morbidity, prevalence and mortality in the population from tuberculosis registered in various municipalities of the Sverdlovsk region indicates the leveling of the epidemic situation as the result of effective impact of TB service on the epidemic process.